Rays at Orioles

Scoreboard

TB2–BAL11

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · TB 34-19 · BAL 26-30

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
TB	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	10	0
BAL	5	0	1	0	2	1	2	0	·	11	16	0

Last play · Victor Mesa Jr. pops out to third baseman Weston Wilson in foul territory.

Win probability

Orioles100%

TB 0%BAL 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

TB 0 – 8 BAL

Orioles led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9.5

opened 9 ↑

fair over 48.8% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-125 / +104

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Orioles favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓

Biggest swing · Gunnar Henderson homers (12) on a fly ball to right field. Taylor Ward scores. (inning 1) — +17% Orioles

Scoring plays

TB–BAL · 8 total

8Ryan Vilade walks. Victor Mesa Jr. scores. Nick Fortes to 3rd. Richie Palacios to 2nd.2–11

7Blaze Alexander homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Colton Cowser scores.1–11

6Gunnar Henderson homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field.1–9

6Ryan Vilade grounds into a force out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to second baseman Jeremiah Jackson. Jonathan Aranda scores. Richie Palacios out at 2nd. Ryan Vilade to 1st.1–8

5Blaze Alexander doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Coby Mayo scores. Leody Taveras scores.0–8

3Tyler O'Neill singles on a line drive to left fielder Chandler Simpson. Coby Mayo scores.0–6

1Blaze Alexander singles on a line drive to right fielder Ryan Vilade. Pete Alonso scores. Coby Mayo scores. Leody Taveras to 3rd.0–5

1Leody Taveras singles on a soft line drive to right fielder Ryan Vilade. Adley Rutschman scores. Pete Alonso to 3rd. Coby Mayo to 2nd.0–3

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.