Blue Jays at Orioles

Scoreboard

TOR6–BAL5

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · TOR 29-29 · BAL 26-32

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
TOR	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	0	6	10	2
BAL	0	0	2	1	2	0	0	0	0	5	8	0

Last play · Adley Rutschman grounds out, second baseman Ernie Clement to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Win probability

Orioles0%

TOR 100%BAL 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

TOR 0 – 5 BAL

Orioles led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9.5

opened 8.5 ↑

fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

+105 / -126

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Orioles favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓

Biggest swing · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Taylor Ward. George Springer scores. Ernie Clement scores. (inning 8) — -52% Blue Jays

Scoring plays

TOR–BAL · 8 total

8Vladimir Guerrero Jr. doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Taylor Ward. George Springer scores. Ernie Clement scores.6–5

7Charles McAdoo homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. Daulton Varsho scores.4–5

7Kazuma Okamoto homers (12) on a fly ball to left field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.2–5

5Samuel Basallo homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field.0–5

5Pete Alonso homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field.0–4

4Jackson Holliday homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.0–3

3Samuel Basallo out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Taylor Ward scores.0–2

3Adley Rutschman walks. Jackson Holliday scores. Taylor Ward to 3rd. Gunnar Henderson to 2nd.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.