Blue Jays at Orioles

Scoreboard

TOR2–BAL1

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · TOR 28-29 · BAL 26-31

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
TOR	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	6	1
BAL	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	8	0

Last play · Jackson Holliday grounds out to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Win probability

Orioles0%

TOR 100%BAL 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

TOR 1 – 1 BAL

Tied through 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 50.5% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+105 / -126

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Orioles favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓

Biggest swing · Adley Rutschman challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Yohendrick Piñango walks. George Springer scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 3rd. Daulton Varsho to 2nd. (inning 8) — -26% Blue Jays

Scoring plays

TOR–BAL · 3 total

8Adley Rutschman challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Yohendrick Piñango walks. George Springer scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 3rd. Daulton Varsho to 2nd.2–1

4Coby Mayo homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.1–1

3Andrés Giménez homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.