Padres at Orioles

Scoreboard

SD3–BAL7

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · SD 35-33 · BAL 34-37

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SD	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	7	0
BAL	3	3	0	1	0	0	0	0	·	7	8	1

Last play · Jackson Merrill lines out sharply to right fielder Tyler O'Neill.

Win probability

Orioles100%

SD 0%BAL 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

SD 3 – 7 BAL

Orioles led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9.5

opened 8.5 ↑

fair over 50.5% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+109 / -131

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Orioles favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓

Biggest swing · Samuel Basallo homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. Pete Alonso scores. (inning 1) — +17% Orioles

Scoring plays

SD–BAL · 8 total

5Gavin Sheets singles on a ground ball to center fielder Colton Cowser. Manny Machado scores.3–7

4Gunnar Henderson homers (14) on a fly ball to right field.2–7

2Pete Alonso singles on a ground ball to left fielder Samad Taylor, deflected by third baseman Manny Machado. Tyler O'Neill scores. Gunnar Henderson scores. Adley Rutschman to 2nd.2–6

2Jackson Holliday out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Colton Cowser scores.2–4

2Fernando Tatis Jr. singles on a ground ball to center fielder Colton Cowser. Ty France scores. Will Wagner to 2nd.2–3

1Samuel Basallo homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. Pete Alonso scores.1–3

1Adley Rutschman out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Gavin Sheets. Taylor Ward scores.1–1

1Gavin Sheets doubles (13) on a line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Xander Bogaerts to 3rd.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.