White Sox at Orioles
Last play · Kyle Teel challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Blaze Alexander called out on strikes.
Win probability
Orioles0%
CWS 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 2 – 2 BAL
Tied through 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9 ↑
fair over 47.7% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+113 / -136
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Orioles favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Colson Montgomery doubles (15) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Colton Cowser. Sam Antonacci scores. (inning 8) — -26% White Sox
9Kyle Teel reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Blaze Alexander. Jacob Gonzalez scores. Sam Antonacci scores.8–2
9Jacob Gonzalez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Colton Cowser. Tristan Peters scores. Chase Meidroth scores.6–2
8Randal Grichuk singles on a line drive to center fielder Colton Cowser. Colson Montgomery scores. Randal Grichuk to 2nd.4–2
8Colson Montgomery doubles (15) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Colton Cowser. Sam Antonacci scores.3–2
3Adley Rutschman out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Blaze Alexander scores.2–2
3Kyle Teel singles on a ground ball to shortstop Gunnar Henderson. Jacob Gonzalez scores. Miguel Vargas out at home, pitcher Shane Baz to catcher Adley Rutschman.2–1
3Jacob Gonzalez doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Colton Cowser. Chase Meidroth scores.1–1
1Adley Rutschman out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Gunnar Henderson scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
