Cubs at Orioles

Scoreboard

CHC5–BAL2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · CHC 51-40 · BAL 42-50

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CHC	0	0	1	0	2	0	1	1	0	5	10	1
BAL	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	6	0

Last play · Leody Taveras grounds out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch.

Win probability

Orioles0%

CHC 100%BAL 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

CHC 3 – 0 BAL

Cubs led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9.5

opened 9 ↑

fair over 48.3% · hold 4.6%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

-114 / -106

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Orioles favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓

Biggest swing · Adley Rutschman singles on a ground ball to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Samuel Basallo scores. Blaze Alexander scores. Taylor Ward to 3rd. Adley Rutschman to 2nd. Throwing error by right fielder Seiya Suzuki. (inning 7) — +15% Orioles

Scoring plays

CHC–BAL · 6 total

8Dansby Swanson singles on a line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Nico Hoerner scores.5–2

7Adley Rutschman singles on a ground ball to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Samuel Basallo scores. Blaze Alexander scores. Taylor Ward to 3rd. Adley Rutschman to 2nd. Throwing error by right fielder Seiya Suzuki.4–2

7Michael Busch out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Taylor Ward. Miguel Amaya scores.4–0

5Cubs challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was overturned: Alex Bregman grounds into a force out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to second baseman Jackson Holliday. Miguel Amaya scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong out at 2nd. Alex Bregman to 1st.3–0

5Pete Crow-Armstrong singles on a line drive to right fielder Blaze Alexander. Dansby Swanson scores. Miguel Amaya to 3rd.2–0

3Alex Bregman singles on a line drive to center fielder Dylan Beavers. Miguel Amaya scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 3rd.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.