White Sox at Orioles
Last play · Taylor Ward flies out to center fielder Tristan Peters.
Win probability
Orioles0%
CWS 100%BAL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 9 – 3 BAL
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 10 ↑
fair over 50.3% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+124 / -149
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Orioles favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Colson Montgomery homers (21) on a fly ball to right center field. Andrew Benintendi scores. (inning 3) — -26% White Sox
5Pete Alonso singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Junior Perez. Dylan Beavers scores.9–3
5Dylan Beavers doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Braden Montgomery. Gunnar Henderson scores.9–2
4Jacob Gonzalez doubles (3) on a line drive to center fielder Colton Cowser. Tristan Peters scores.9–1
3Junior Perez homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Tristan Peters scores. Jacob Gonzalez scores.8–1
3Jacob Gonzalez singles on a line drive to left fielder Dylan Beavers. Braden Montgomery scores. Chase Meidroth scores. Tristan Peters to 3rd.5–1
3Colson Montgomery homers (21) on a fly ball to right center field. Andrew Benintendi scores.3–1
1Samuel Basallo singles on a line drive to right fielder Braden Montgomery. Gunnar Henderson scores. Pete Alonso to 2nd.1–1
1Andrew Benintendi doubles (12) on a line drive to right fielder Leody Taveras. Kyle Teel scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
