Cubs at Orioles

Scoreboard

CHC9–BAL7

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · CHC 52-40 · BAL 42-51

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CHC	0	0	1	0	3	0	5	0	0	9	8	0
BAL	0	0	1	2	0	0	2	2	0	7	14	1

Last play · Pete Alonso grounds out softly, catcher Carson Kelly to first baseman Michael Busch.

Win probability

Orioles0%

CHC 100%BAL 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

CHC 4 – 3 BAL

Cubs led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

10

opened 9 ↑

fair over 50.9% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+105 / -126

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Orioles favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓

Biggest swing · Pete Alonso homers (20) on a fly ball to center field. Taylor Ward scores. (inning 4) — +22% Orioles

Scoring plays

CHC–BAL · 8 total

8Tyler O'Neill homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.9–7

8Coby Mayo homers (11) on a fly ball to left field.9–6

7Taylor Ward singles on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Gunnar Henderson scores. Adley Rutschman to 3rd.9–5

7Tyler O'Neill homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.9–4

7Seiya Suzuki homers (14) on a fly ball to left field. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Michael Busch scores.9–3

7Alex Bregman out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Dylan Beavers. Carson Kelly scores. Dansby Swanson to 3rd. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 2nd.5–3

5Pete Crow-Armstrong homers (21) on a fly ball to right center field.4–3

5Carson Kelly homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.3–3

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.