Phillies at Orioles

Scoreboard

PHI4–BAL6

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · PHI 57-53 · BAL 54-56

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
PHI	2	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	4	6	0
BAL	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	·	6	6	0

Last play · Justin Crawford grounds out, pitcher Tyler Wells to first baseman Pete Alonso.

Win probability

Orioles100%

PHI 0%BAL 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

PHI 3 – 2 BAL

Phillies led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 9

fair over 49% · hold 4.5%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

+100 / -121

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Orioles favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓

Biggest swing · Christian Encarnacion-Strand doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Justin Crawford. Jackson Holliday scores. Colton Cowser scores. (inning 7) — +38% Orioles

Scoring plays

PHI–BAL · 7 total

7Gunnar Henderson triples (4) on a line drive to center fielder Justin Crawford. Christian Encarnacion-Strand scores. Pete Alonso scores.4–6

7Christian Encarnacion-Strand doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Justin Crawford. Jackson Holliday scores. Colton Cowser scores.4–4

6J.T. Realmuto homers (8) on a fly ball to left field.4–2

3Trea Turner homers (16) on a fly ball to left center field.3–2

1Pete Alonso homers (23) on a fly ball to right center field. Dylan Beavers scores.2–2

1Brandon Marsh grounds out, second baseman Jackson Holliday to first baseman Pete Alonso. Kyle Schwarber scores. Bryce Harper to 2nd.2–0

1Bryce Harper singles on a line drive to left fielder Dylan Beavers. Trea Turner scores. Kyle Schwarber to 2nd.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.