Rays at Orioles

Scoreboard

TB3–BAL5

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · TB 76-52 · BAL 62-67

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
TB	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	7	1
BAL	1	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	·	5	8	0

Last play · Cedric Mullins flies out to center fielder Colton Cowser.

Win probability

Orioles100%

TB 0%BAL 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

TB 3 – 5 BAL

Orioles led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 8.5 ↓

fair over 50.2% · hold 4.8%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+106 / -114

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Orioles favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓

Biggest swing · Pete Alonso homers (30) on a fly ball to left center field. Colton Cowser scores. (inning 5) — +25% Orioles

Scoring plays

TB–BAL · 6 total

5Pete Alonso homers (30) on a fly ball to left center field. Colton Cowser scores.3–5

5Jackson Holliday out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jonny DeLuca. Coby Mayo scores.3–3

2Dylan Beavers homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.3–2

2Kenny Piper homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Jorge Mateo scores.3–1

2Chandler Simpson singles on a ground ball to right fielder Leody Taveras. Junior Caminero scores.1–1

1Pete Alonso singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jonny DeLuca. Jackson Holliday scores.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.