Guardians at Orioles

Scoreboard

CLE4–BAL6

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Oriole Park at Camden Yards · CLE 73-72 · BAL 70-75

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
CLE	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	4	9	0
BAL	0	1	3	0	0	2	0	0	·	6	9	0

Last play · Patrick Bailey flies out to right fielder Rece Hinds.

Win probability

Orioles100%

CLE 0%BAL 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

CLE 0 – 4 BAL

Orioles led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7

opened 9 ↓

fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+118 / -142

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Orioles favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓

Biggest swing · Coby Mayo homers (20) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 3) — +18% Orioles

Scoring plays

CLE–BAL · 7 total

9Nathaniel Lowe homers (16) on a fly ball to right center field. Jo Adell scores. José Ramírez scores.4–6

6Coby Mayo homers (21) on a fly ball to left center field. Jackson Holliday scores.1–6

6Jo Adell doubles (24) on a fly ball to right fielder Blaze Alexander. Brayan Rocchio scores. Steven Kwan to 3rd.1–4

3Pete Alonso walks. Samuel Basallo scores. Rece Hinds to 3rd. Blaze Alexander to 2nd.0–4

3Blaze Alexander walks. Christian Encarnacion-Strand scores. Samuel Basallo to 3rd. Rece Hinds to 2nd.0–3

3Coby Mayo homers (20) on a fly ball to left field.0–2

2Dylan Beavers doubles (18) on a line drive to right fielder Angel Martínez. Samuel Basallo scores. Rece Hinds to 3rd.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.