Astros at Red Sox

Scoreboard

HOU1–BOS3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Fenway Park · HOU 12-21 · BOS 13-19

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
HOU	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	11	0
BOS	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	·	3	10	0

Last play · Yordan Alvarez grounds out, second baseman Marcelo Mayer to first baseman Willson Contreras.

Win probability

Red Sox100%

HOU 0%BOS 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

HOU 1 – 3 BOS

Red Sox led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 9

fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%

Run line

+1.5

Moneyline

reference

+102 / -122

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Red Sox favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓

Biggest swing · Jarren Duran homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Carlos Narváez scores. Caleb Durbin scores. (inning 3) — +38% Red Sox

Scoring plays

HOU–BOS · 2 total

3Jarren Duran homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Carlos Narváez scores. Caleb Durbin scores.1–3

3Carlos Correa homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.