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Astros at Red Sox

HOU3BOS1
Final
Inn12345678910RHE
HOU00000100023101
BOS0000100000190
Last play · Ceddanne Rafaela grounds into a double play, shortstop Carlos Correa to first baseman Isaac Paredes. Marcelo Mayer out at 2nd. Ceddanne Rafaela out at 1st.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
HOU 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
final
HOU 01 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Inning 5: Jarren Duran homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.Inning 6: Brice Matthews flies into a sacrifice double play, left fielder Jarren Duran to catcher Carlos Narváez to third baseman Caleb Durbin. Christian Walker scores. Jose Altuve out at 3rd.Inning 10: Astros challenged (home-plate collision), call on the field was upheld: Astros challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Cam Smith singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Braden Shewmake scores. Jose Altuve scores. Brice Matthews out at home on the throw, left fielder Jarren Duran to second baseman Marcelo Mayer to first baseman Willson Contreras to catcher Carlos Narváez.
Red Sox favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓

Biggest swing · Astros challenged (home-plate collision), call on the field was upheld: Astros challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Cam Smith singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Braden Shewmake scores. Jose Altuve scores. Brice Matthews out at home on the throw, left fielder Jarren Duran to second baseman Marcelo Mayer to first baseman Willson Contreras to catcher Carlos Narváez. (inning 10) — -44% Astros

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.