Orioles at Red Sox

Scoreboard

BAL3–BOS6

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Fenway Park · BAL 49-53 · BOS 52-48

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
BAL	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	3	11	0
BOS	4	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	·	6	9	0

Last play · Pete Alonso grounds out, shortstop Tsung-Che Cheng to first baseman Willson Contreras.

Win probability

Red Sox100%

BAL 0%BOS 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

BAL 2 – 6 BOS

Red Sox led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9.5

opened 9 ↑

fair over 49.1% · hold 4.7%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+144 / -175

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Red Sox favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓

Biggest swing · Caleb Durbin singles on a line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras. Masataka Yoshida scores. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Willson Contreras to 2nd. (inning 1) — +17% Red Sox

Scoring plays

BAL–BOS · 7 total

6Christian Encarnacion-Strand singles on a fly ball to left fielder Jarren Duran. Coby Mayo scores.3–6

4Ceddanne Rafaela homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field.2–6

4Christian Encarnacion-Strand homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.2–5

3Jarren Duran out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Leody Taveras. Caleb Durbin scores.1–5

3Tyler O'Neill doubles (8) on a fly ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Pete Alonso scores.1–4

1Jarren Duran triples (3) on a line drive to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Willson Contreras scores. Caleb Durbin scores.0–4

1Caleb Durbin singles on a line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras. Masataka Yoshida scores. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Willson Contreras to 2nd.0–2

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.