White Sox at Red Sox
Last play · Brenton Doyle strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
CWS 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 0 – 2 BOS
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+137 / -146
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Red Sox favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Wilyer Abreu homers (20) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 3) — +12% Red Sox
8Caleb Durbin singles on a line drive to right fielder Braden Montgomery. Wilyer Abreu scores.0–4
7Andruw Monasterio out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Jarren Duran scores.0–3
3Wilyer Abreu homers (20) on a fly ball to right center field.0–2
1Willson Contreras singles on a line drive to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Wilyer Abreu scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
