Athletics at Red Sox
Last play · Eli White lines out sharply to center fielder Henry Bolte.
Win probability
Red Sox0%
ATH 100%BOS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATH 3 – 2 BOS
Athletics led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+255 / -277
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Red Sox favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jonah Heim singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Alika Williams scores. Jacob Wilson scores. (inning 5) — -31% Athletics
9Caleb Durbin singles on a line drive to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Jahmai Jones scores.7–3
9Henry Bolte homers (5) on a fly ball to center field.7–2
7Tyler Soderstrom homers (19) on a fly ball to right field.6–2
6Donovan Walton hits a ground-rule double (10) on a line drive to right-center field. Lawrence Butler scores. Jeff McNeil scores.5–2
5Jonah Heim singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Alika Williams scores. Jacob Wilson scores.3–2
4Brian Serven singles on a soft ground ball to catcher Connor Wong, deflected by pitcher Jake Bennett. Jacob Wilson scores. Tommy White to 2nd.1–2
1Andruw Monasterio singles on a line drive to right fielder Lawrence Butler. Jahmai Jones scores. Caleb Durbin scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
