Giants at Red Sox
SF2–
BOS3Last play · Umpire reviewed (force play), call on the field was upheld: Wilyer Abreu reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Bryce Eldridge. Eli White scores. Nick Sogard to 3rd. Ceddanne Rafaela to 2nd.
Win probability
Red Sox100%
SF 0%BOS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSF 2 – 0 BOS
Giants led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+189 / -204
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Red Sox favored ↑50%Giants favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nick Sogard doubles (8) on a line drive to left fielder Turner Hill. Andruw Monasterio scores. Eli White to 3rd. (inning 9) — +42% Red Sox
9Umpire reviewed (force play), call on the field was upheld: Wilyer Abreu reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Bryce Eldridge. Eli White scores. Nick Sogard to 3rd. Ceddanne Rafaela to 2nd.2–3
9Nick Sogard doubles (8) on a line drive to left fielder Turner Hill. Andruw Monasterio scores. Eli White to 3rd.2–2
9Eli White singles on a line drive to center fielder Drew Gilbert. Caleb Durbin scores. Andruw Monasterio to 2nd.2–1
3Andrew Knizner homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field.2–0
1Willy Adames homers (21) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.