Angels at Cubs
Last play · Michael Conforto strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Cubs0%
LAA 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 0 – 0 CHC
Tied through 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 7 ↓
fair over 53% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+119 / -143
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Cubs favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Logan O'Hoppe singles on a ground ball to third baseman Alex Bregman, deflected by third baseman Alex Bregman. Jorge Soler scores. Jeimer Candelario scores. (inning 6) — -29% Angels
6Logan O'Hoppe singles on a ground ball to third baseman Alex Bregman, deflected by third baseman Alex Bregman. Jorge Soler scores. Jeimer Candelario scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
