Angels at Cubs
Last play · Oswald Peraza lines out to second baseman Nico Hoerner.
Win probability
Cubs100%
LAA 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAA 0 – 5 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
6
opened 6.5 ↓
fair over 49.6% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -163
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Cubs favored ↑50%Angels favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alex Bregman singles on a ground ball to center fielder Mike Trout. Nico Hoerner scores. (inning 3) — +12% Cubs
7Matt Shaw singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jo Adell. Carson Kelly scores. Michael Busch to 2nd.2–6
6Jorge Soler reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Alex Bregman. Mike Trout scores. Jo Adell to 2nd.2–5
6Jo Adell singles on a ground ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong, deflected by second baseman Nico Hoerner. Zach Neto scores. Mike Trout to 3rd.1–5
3Pete Crow-Armstrong singles on a ground ball to second baseman Oswald Peraza, deflected by first baseman Jeimer Candelario. Michael Busch scores. Matt Shaw to 2nd.0–5
3Matt Shaw singles on a ground ball to center fielder Mike Trout. Carson Kelly scores. Michael Busch to 3rd.0–4
3Dansby Swanson out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Bryce Teodosio. Ian Happ scores.0–3
3Alex Bregman singles on a ground ball to center fielder Mike Trout. Nico Hoerner scores.0–2
3Nico Hoerner doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Mike Trout. Miguel Amaya scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
