Pirates at Cubs

Scoreboard

PIT4–CHC3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Wrigley Field · PIT 9-5 · CHC 6-8

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H	E
PIT	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	11	1
CHC	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	3	9	3

Last play · Seiya Suzuki pops out to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn in foul territory.

Win probability

Cubs0%

PIT 100%CHC 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

PIT 3 – 1 CHC

Pirates led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

6.5

opened 6.5

fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+123 / -149

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cubs favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓

Biggest swing · Alex Bregman singles on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Dansby Swanson scores. Matt Shaw to 3rd. (inning 9) — +42% Cubs

Scoring plays

PIT–CHC · 7 total

11Brandon Lowe reaches on a throwing error by pitcher Caleb Thielbar. Nick Gonzales scores. Oneil Cruz to 3rd.4–3

9Alex Bregman singles on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Dansby Swanson scores. Matt Shaw to 3rd.3–3

7Dansby Swanson grounds out sharply, shortstop Konnor Griffin to first baseman Spencer Horwitz. Miguel Amaya scores.3–2

5Nico Hoerner grounds out, second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Spencer Horwitz. Michael Conforto scores. Dansby Swanson to 3rd.3–1

3Ryan O'Hearn out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Michael Conforto. Brandon Lowe scores.3–0

3Bryan Reynolds singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Michael Conforto. Oneil Cruz scores. Brandon Lowe to 3rd.2–0

2Spencer Horwitz grounds into a double play, shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch. Marcell Ozuna scores. Nick Yorke out at 2nd. Spencer Horwitz out at 1st.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.