D-backs at Cubs

Scoreboard

AZ4–CHC8

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Wrigley Field · AZ 16-17 · CHC 22-12

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
AZ	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	7	0
CHC	0	1	2	0	3	0	2	0	·	8	12	0

Last play · Ketel Marte strikes out swinging.

Win probability

Cubs100%

AZ 0%CHC 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

AZ 2 – 6 CHC

Cubs led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

12

opened 12

fair over 49.8% · hold 4.8%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+129 / -156

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cubs favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓

Biggest swing · Moisés Ballesteros homers (6) on a line drive to left center field. Nico Hoerner scores. (inning 3) — +25% Cubs

Scoring plays

AZ–CHC · 7 total

9Adrian Del Castillo homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. scores.4–8

7Carson Kelly singles on a ground ball to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Seiya Suzuki scores.2–8

7Michael Busch out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Ian Happ scores. Seiya Suzuki to 3rd.2–7

5Michael Busch triples (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Moisés Ballesteros scores. Alex Bregman scores. Ian Happ scores.2–6

3Moisés Ballesteros homers (6) on a line drive to left center field. Nico Hoerner scores.2–3

2Carson Kelly singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jorge Barrosa. Michael Busch scores.2–1

2Gabriel Moreno homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Nolan Arenado scores.2–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.