Astros at Cubs

Scoreboard

HOU4–CHC2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Wrigley Field · HOU 21-31 · CHC 29-22

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
HOU	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	4	9	2
CHC	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	4	0

Last play · Ian Happ pops out to first baseman Christian Walker.

Win probability

Cubs0%

HOU 100%CHC 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

HOU 4 – 0 CHC

Astros led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7

opened 7

fair over 47.6% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+123 / -148

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cubs favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓

Biggest swing · Christian Vázquez homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 3) — -18% Astros

Scoring plays

HOU–CHC · 5 total

6Pete Crow-Armstrong homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Miguel Amaya scores.4–2

5Brice Matthews singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Isaac Paredes scores. Jake Meyers to 2nd.4–0

4Christian Vázquez singles on a line drive to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Braden Shewmake scores. Zach Cole to 3rd.3–0

4Zach Cole grounds into a force out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to second baseman Nico Hoerner. Christian Walker scores. Braden Shewmake to 3rd. Cam Smith out at 2nd. Zach Cole to 1st.2–0

3Christian Vázquez homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.