Astros at Cubs

Scoreboard

HOU8–CHC5

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Wrigley Field · HOU 23-31 · CHC 29-24

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
HOU	0	1	1	0	5	0	0	0	1	8	9	0
CHC	0	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	5	7	0

Last play · Alex Bregman flies out to right fielder Cam Smith.

Win probability

Cubs0%

HOU 100%CHC 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

HOU 7 – 3 CHC

Astros led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7

opened 7.5 ↓

fair over 49.2% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+139 / -168

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cubs favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓

Biggest swing · Jeremy Peña singles on a fly ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Cam Smith scores. Zach Dezenzo scores. Nick Allen to 3rd. (inning 5) — -31% Astros

Scoring plays

HOU–CHC · 8 total

9Nick Allen singles on a fly ball to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Cam Smith scores.8–5

7Michael Busch homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores.7–5

5Christian Walker homers (14) on a fly ball to left center field. Nick Allen scores. Jeremy Peña scores.7–3

5Jeremy Peña singles on a fly ball to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Cam Smith scores. Zach Dezenzo scores. Nick Allen to 3rd.4–3

3Nick Allen homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.2–3

2Nico Hoerner singles on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith. Pedro Ramírez scores.1–3

2Pete Crow-Armstrong out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jake Meyers. Carson Kelly scores. Pedro Ramírez to 3rd.1–2

2Pedro Ramírez doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith, deflected by center fielder Jake Meyers. Moisés Ballesteros scores. Carson Kelly to 3rd.1–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.