Rockies at Cubs
Last play · Tyler Freeman grounds out, third baseman Alex Bregman to first baseman Michael Busch.
Win probability
Cubs100%
COL 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 2 – 8 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Cubs favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Shaw triples (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cole Carrigg. Alex Bregman scores. Ian Happ scores. (inning 2) — +20% Cubs
9Kyle Karros homers (4) on a fly ball to right center field.6–8
8Hunter Goodman homers (21) on a fly ball to center field. Tyler Freeman scores.5–8
8TJ Rumfield grounds out, first baseman Michael Busch to pitcher Ethan Roberts. Jake McCarthy scores. Tyler Freeman to 3rd.3–8
5Sterlin Thompson homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.2–8
4Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Pete Crow-Armstrong homers (15) on a fly ball to right field.1–8
3Sterlin Thompson homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.1–7
2Alex Bregman out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Seiya Suzuki scores.0–7
2Seiya Suzuki doubles (9) on a fly ball to left fielder Jake McCarthy. Nico Hoerner scores.0–6
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
