Rockies at Cubs

Scoreboard

COL4–CHC5

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Wrigley Field · COL 27-46 · CHC 38-35

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
COL	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	4	7	1
CHC	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	5	10	0

Last play · Matt Shaw walks. Ian Happ scores. Nico Hoerner to 3rd. Pedro Ramírez to 2nd.

Win probability

Cubs100%

COL 0%CHC 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

COL 0 – 1 CHC

Cubs led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

10

opened 9 ↑

fair over 50.5% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+178 / -219

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cubs favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓

Biggest swing · Cole Carrigg homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Tyler Freeman scores. Hunter Goodman scores. (inning 8) — -65% Rockies

Scoring plays

COL–CHC · 7 total

9Matt Shaw walks. Ian Happ scores. Nico Hoerner to 3rd. Pedro Ramírez to 2nd.4–5

9Pedro Ramírez singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Troy Johnston. Seiya Suzuki scores. Ian Happ to 3rd. Nico Hoerner to 2nd.4–4

8Pete Crow-Armstrong out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Tyler Freeman. Matt Shaw scores.4–3

8Cole Carrigg homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Tyler Freeman scores. Hunter Goodman scores.4–2

6Rockies challenged (fair or foul in outfield), call on the field was upheld: Matt Shaw triples (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Jake McCarthy. Moisés Ballesteros scores.1–2

6Cole Carrigg walks. Tyler Freeman scores. Hunter Goodman to 3rd. Troy Johnston to 2nd.1–1

1Pete Crow-Armstrong homers (13) on a fly ball to center field.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.