Padres at Cubs

Scoreboard

SD2–CHC3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Wrigley Field · SD 43-40 · CHC 47-38

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
SD	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	11	0
CHC	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	1	3	10	0

Last play · Seiya Suzuki singles on a fly ball to left fielder Jase Bowen. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Alex Bregman to 3rd.

Win probability

Cubs100%

SD 0%CHC 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

SD 2 – 2 CHC

Tied through 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

11

opened 11.5 ↓

fair over 51% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+119 / -144

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cubs favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓

Biggest swing · Seiya Suzuki out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Dansby Swanson scores. (inning 5) — +14% Cubs

Scoring plays

SD–CHC · 5 total

9Seiya Suzuki singles on a fly ball to left fielder Jase Bowen. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Alex Bregman to 3rd.2–3

5Seiya Suzuki out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Dansby Swanson scores.2–2

4Michael Conforto singles on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Seiya Suzuki scores. Nico Hoerner to 2nd.2–1

4Xander Bogaerts doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Miguel Andujar scores. Ty France to 3rd.2–0

3Fernando Tatis Jr. reaches on a fielder's choice out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to third baseman Alex Bregman. Xander Bogaerts scores. Freddy Fermin out at 3rd.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.