Cardinals at Cubs

Scoreboard

STL4–CHC6

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Wrigley Field · STL 47-40 · CHC 50-40

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
STL	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	4	7	2
CHC	2	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	·	6	7	0

Last play · Nelson Velázquez lines out sharply to shortstop Dansby Swanson.

Win probability

Cubs100%

STL 0%CHC 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

STL 0 – 2 CHC

Cubs led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 8

fair over 50.1% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+119 / -143

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cubs favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓

Biggest swing · Jordan Walker homers (20) on a fly ball to left center field. JJ Wetherholt scores. Alec Burleson scores. (inning 6) — -45% Cardinals

Scoring plays

STL–CHC · 7 total

8Jordan Walker out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. JJ Wetherholt scores.4–6

6Pedro Ramírez out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jordan Walker. Nico Hoerner scores. Dansby Swanson scores. Throwing error by right fielder Jordan Walker.3–6

6Dansby Swanson reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by third baseman José Fermín. Michael Busch scores. Nico Hoerner to 3rd. Dansby Swanson to 2nd. Throwing error by third baseman José Fermín.3–4

6Nico Hoerner singles on a line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Carson Kelly scores. Michael Busch to 2nd.3–3

6Jordan Walker homers (20) on a fly ball to left center field. JJ Wetherholt scores. Alec Burleson scores.3–2

1Nico Hoerner out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jordan Walker. Alex Bregman scores. Carson Kelly to 3rd. Michael Busch to 2nd.0–2

1Alex Bregman doubles (13) on a line drive to center fielder Nathan Church. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.