Twins at Cubs

Scoreboard

MIN5–CHC2

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Wrigley Field · MIN 49-49 · CHC 54-43

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIN	0	0	4	0	0	0	1	0	0	5	7	1
CHC	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	6	1

Last play · Carson Kelly flies out to center fielder Luke Keaschall.

Win probability

Cubs0%

MIN 100%CHC 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIN 4 – 1 CHC

Twins led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

8

opened 9 ↓

fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+135 / -163

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cubs favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Ryan Jeffers homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field. Tristan Gray scores. Trevor Larnach scores. (inning 3) — -35% Twins

Scoring plays

MIN–CHC · 5 total

7Ryan Kreidler singles on a ground ball to left fielder Ian Happ. Austin Martin scores. Luke Keaschall to 3rd. Ryan Kreidler to 2nd.5–2

6Alex Bregman walks.4–2

3Ryan Jeffers homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field. Tristan Gray scores. Trevor Larnach scores.4–1

3Trevor Larnach singles on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Luke Keaschall scores. Tristan Gray to 2nd.1–1

1Michael Busch singles on a line drive to right fielder Alan Roden. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Seiya Suzuki to 3rd.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.