Twins at Cubs

Scoreboard

MIN1–CHC10

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Wrigley Field · MIN 49-51 · CHC 56-43

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIN	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	8	1
CHC	2	1	4	3	0	0	0	0	·	10	12	1

Last play · Ryan Kreidler pops out to first baseman Michael Busch in foul territory.

Win probability

Cubs100%

MIN 0%CHC 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIN 0 – 10 CHC

Cubs led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

7.5

opened 7.5

fair over 50.5% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+149 / -181

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cubs favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓

Biggest swing · Alex Bregman homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Seiya Suzuki scores. (inning 1) — +17% Cubs

Scoring plays

MIN–CHC · 8 total

8Royce Lewis out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Austin Martin scores. Alex Jackson to 3rd.1–10

4Nico Hoerner singles on a line drive to left fielder Austin Martin. Michael Busch scores.0–10

4Alex Bregman reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by third baseman Brooks Lee. Seiya Suzuki scores. Michael Busch to 2nd. Fielding error by third baseman Brooks Lee.0–9

4Michael Busch singles on a ground ball to left fielder Austin Martin. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. Seiya Suzuki to 2nd.0–8

3Pedro Ramírez singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Luke Keaschall. Nico Hoerner scores.0–7

3Nico Hoerner triples (1) on a line drive to left fielder Austin Martin, deflected by center fielder Luke Keaschall. Michael Busch scores. Alex Bregman scores. Ian Happ scores.0–6

2Carson Kelly singles on a ground ball to center fielder Luke Keaschall. Pedro Ramírez scores.0–3

1Alex Bregman homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Seiya Suzuki scores.0–2

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.