Dodgers at Cubs
LAD6–
CHC7Last play · Mookie Betts lines out to left fielder Ian Happ.
Win probability
Cubs100%
LAD 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 1 – 6 CHC
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
10
opened 9.5 ↑
fair over 49.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+102 / -108
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Cubs favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Pete Crow-Armstrong homers (25) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 1) — +17% Cubs
8Shohei Ohtani homers (26) on a line drive to left center field. Miguel Rojas scores.6–7
8Max Muncy homers (22) on a fly ball to right center field. Kyle Tucker scores. Mookie Betts scores.4–7
7Dodgers challenged (stadium boundary call), call on the field was upheld: Nico Hoerner doubles (24) on a line drive to left fielder Tommy Edman. Michael Busch scores.1–7
4Alex Bregman singles on a line drive to left fielder Tommy Edman. Seiya Suzuki scores.1–6
4Pete Crow-Armstrong homers (26) on a fly ball to right field. Tyrone Taylor scores.1–5
2Pete Crow-Armstrong doubles (22) on a fly ball to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Dansby Swanson scores.1–3
2Dansby Swanson doubles (15) on a line drive to left fielder Tommy Edman. Nico Hoerner scores.1–2
1Pete Crow-Armstrong homers (25) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.