Cardinals at Cubs

Scoreboard

STL8–CHC4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Wrigley Field · STL 62-61 · CHC 72-52

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
STL	3	0	0	1	0	3	0	1	0	8	7	1
CHC	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	8	0

Last play · Tyrone Taylor grounds out, third baseman Blaze Jordan to first baseman Alec Burleson.

Win probability

Cubs0%

STL 100%CHC 0%

First 5 (F5)

final

STL 4 – 3 CHC

Cardinals led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9

opened 9

fair over 50.1% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+168 / -181

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cubs favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓

Biggest swing · Michael Conforto homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. Nico Hoerner scores. Pedro Ramírez scores. (inning 2) — +35% Cubs

Scoring plays

STL–CHC · 8 total

8Alex Bregman grounds into a double play, second baseman JJ Wetherholt to shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Alec Burleson. Seiya Suzuki scores. Michael Busch out at 2nd. Alex Bregman out at 1st.8–4

8Alec Burleson homers (20) on a fly ball to left center field.8–3

6Blaze Jordan homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.7–3

6Joshua Báez homers (3) on a line drive to right field. Alec Burleson scores.6–3

4Joshua Báez homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.4–3

2Michael Conforto homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. Nico Hoerner scores. Pedro Ramírez scores.3–3

1Joshua Báez homers (1) on a fly ball to center field. Alec Burleson scores.3–0

1Alec Burleson grounds into a force out, fielded by shortstop Nico Hoerner. JJ Wetherholt scores. Jordan Walker out at 2nd. Alec Burleson to 1st.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.