White Sox at Cubs
Last play · Alex Bregman called out on strikes.
Win probability
Cubs0%
CWS 100%CHC 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 0 – 0 CHC
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -145
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Cubs favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Braden Montgomery doubles (11) on a ground ball to right fielder Seiya Suzuki, deflected by first baseman Michael Busch. Miguel Vargas scores. Randal Grichuk scores. (inning 8) — -21% White Sox
8Braden Montgomery doubles (11) on a ground ball to right fielder Seiya Suzuki, deflected by first baseman Michael Busch. Miguel Vargas scores. Randal Grichuk scores.3–0
6Andrew Benintendi singles on a line drive to center fielder Tyrone Taylor. Miguel Vargas scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
