White Sox at Cubs
Last play · Alex Bregman singles on a line drive to center fielder Tristan Peters. Carson Kelly scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 2nd.
Win probability
Cubs100%
CWS 0%CHC 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 3 – 2 CHC
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -145
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
Cubs favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alex Bregman singles on a line drive to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Kevin Alcántara scores. Michael Conforto to 2nd. (inning 7) — +23% Cubs
9Alex Bregman singles on a line drive to center fielder Tristan Peters. Carson Kelly scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 2nd.3–4
7Alex Bregman singles on a line drive to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Kevin Alcántara scores. Michael Conforto to 2nd.3–3
4Tristan Peters doubles (25) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Colson Montgomery scores.3–2
3Munetaka Murakami homers (29) on a fly ball to left center field.2–2
2Drew Romo singles on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. Chase Meidroth scores. Tristan Peters to 2nd.1–2
1Michael Busch homers (15) on a fly ball to right center field.0–2
1Pete Crow-Armstrong homers (31) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
