Pirates at Cubs

Scoreboard

PIT3–CHC4

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Wrigley Field · PIT 74-75 · CHC 83-66

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
PIT	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	3	6	0
CHC	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	·	4	5	1

Last play · Bryan Reynolds challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Bryan Reynolds called out on strikes.

Win probability

Cubs100%

PIT 0%CHC 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

PIT 0 – 2 CHC

Cubs led after 5

The book's line

DraftKings · prices only

Total runs

9.5

opened 9 ↑

fair over 50.4% · hold 4.8%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+109 / -132

We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.

Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Cubs favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓

Biggest swing · Ryan O'Hearn homers (18) on a fly ball to right field. Brandon Lowe scores. Bryan Reynolds scores. (inning 6) — -45% Pirates

Scoring plays

PIT–CHC · 5 total

8Nico Hoerner hit by pitch. Alex Bregman scores. Seiya Suzuki to 3rd. Matt Shaw to 2nd.3–4

8Matt Shaw walks. Pedro Ramírez scores. Alex Bregman to 3rd. Seiya Suzuki to 2nd.3–3

6Ryan O'Hearn homers (18) on a fly ball to right field. Brandon Lowe scores. Bryan Reynolds scores.3–2

3Pedro Ramírez homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.0–2

1Michael Busch homers (19) on a fly ball to center field.0–1

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.