Nationals at White Sox
Last play · Derek Hill grounds out, shortstop Nasim Nuñez to first baseman Luis García Jr.
Win probability
White Sox0%
WSH 100%CWS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 2 – 0 CWS
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 9 ↓
fair over 51.7% · hold 4.6%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+119 / -143
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Chase Meidroth out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jacob Young. Colson Montgomery scores. (inning 8) — +32% White Sox
10Tanner Murray out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Joey Wiemer. Colson Montgomery scores.6–3
10Nasim Nuñez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Everson Pereira. Luis García Jr. scores. Daylen Lile scores. Joey Wiemer to 3rd.6–2
10Joey Wiemer walks. Curtis Mead scores. Luis García Jr. to 3rd. Daylen Lile to 2nd.4–2
10Brady House strikes out swinging.3–2
8Chase Meidroth out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jacob Young. Colson Montgomery scores.2–2
8Everson Pereira singles on a ground ball to left fielder James Wood. Miguel Vargas scores. Colson Montgomery to 2nd.2–1
4Nasim Nuñez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Tristan Peters. Brady House scores. Daylen Lile scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
