Nationals at White Sox
Last play · Miguel Vargas strikes out swinging.
Win probability
White Sox0%
WSH 100%CWS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 0 – 0 CWS
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+102 / -122
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · CJ Abrams out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Tanner Murray. Daylen Lile scores. (inning 10) — -26% Nationals
10Tristan Peters singles on a line drive to center fielder Joey Wiemer. Derek Hill scores.2–1
10José Tena homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.2–0
10CJ Abrams out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Tanner Murray. Daylen Lile scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
