Nationals at White Sox
Last play · James Wood strikes out swinging.
Win probability
White Sox100%
WSH 0%CWS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 3 – 1 CWS
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 47.7% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+109 / -132
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Sam Antonacci out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Daylen Lile. Miguel Vargas scores. Colson Montgomery to 3rd. (inning 8) — +29% White Sox
8Sam Antonacci out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Daylen Lile. Miguel Vargas scores. Colson Montgomery to 3rd.4–5
8Brady House homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.4–4
7Andrew Benintendi out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jacob Young. Luisangel Acuña scores. Tristan Peters to 2nd.3–4
7Tristan Peters singles on a soft bunt ground ball to pitcher Riley Cornelio. Sam Antonacci scores. Luisangel Acuña to 3rd. Throwing error by pitcher Riley Cornelio.3–3
6Colson Montgomery singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder James Wood. Andrew Benintendi scores. Munetaka Murakami to 3rd.3–2
5Brady House grounds into a force out, shortstop Colson Montgomery to second baseman Chase Meidroth. Drew Millas scores. James Wood to 3rd. Daylen Lile out at 2nd. Brady House to 1st.3–1
5Daylen Lile walks. Luis García Jr. scores. Drew Millas to 3rd. James Wood to 2nd.2–1
4Munetaka Murakami homers (11) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
