Royals at White Sox
Last play · Salvador Perez flies out to right fielder Derek Hill in foul territory.
Win probability
White Sox100%
KC 0%CWS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 2 – 5 CWS
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
9
opened 9
fair over 52% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Chase Meidroth homers (3) on a line drive to left field. Miguel Vargas scores. Colson Montgomery scores. (inning 5) — +33% White Sox
8Derek Hill homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.5–6
6Maikel Garcia singles on a line drive to right fielder Jarred Kelenic. Nick Loftin scores.5–5
6Nick Loftin doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Carter Jensen scores. Isaac Collins scores.4–5
5Chase Meidroth homers (3) on a line drive to left field. Miguel Vargas scores. Colson Montgomery scores.2–5
5Miguel Vargas singles on a line drive to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Sam Antonacci scores.2–2
5Drew Romo homers (4) on a fly ball to right field.2–1
1Salvador Perez homers (6) on a line drive to right center field.2–0
1Bobby Witt Jr. homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
