Royals at White Sox
Last play · Maikel Garcia grounds out, second baseman Chase Meidroth to first baseman Munetaka Murakami.
Win probability
White Sox100%
KC 0%CWS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 1 – 5 CWS
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 50.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-136 / +113
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Randal Grichuk homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Munetaka Murakami scores. (inning 1) — +22% White Sox
8Derek Hill singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Sam Antonacci scores.2–6
7Maikel Garcia grounds out sharply, shortstop Luisangel Acuña to first baseman Munetaka Murakami. Kyle Isbel scores.2–5
4Chase Meidroth singles on a ground ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Luisangel Acuña scores.1–5
3Randal Grichuk singles on a line drive to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Chase Meidroth scores. Miguel Vargas scores. Munetaka Murakami to 2nd.1–4
1Randal Grichuk homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Munetaka Murakami scores.1–2
1Lane Thomas out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Derek Hill. Maikel Garcia scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
