Twins at White Sox
Last play · Victor Caratini pops out to shortstop Colson Montgomery.
Win probability
White Sox100%
MIN 0%CWS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 1 – 3 CWS
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 51.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -114
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Drew Romo homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Tristan Peters scores. (inning 2) — +20% White Sox
2Drew Romo homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Tristan Peters scores.1–3
1Munetaka Murakami homers (18) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
1Brooks Lee homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
