Twins at White Sox
Last play · Randal Grichuk grounds out sharply, shortstop Ryan Kreidler to first baseman Josh Bell.
Win probability
White Sox0%
MIN 100%CWS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 2 – 0 CWS
Twins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 51.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brooks Lee doubles (9) on a line drive to right fielder Rikuu Nishida. Ryan Kreidler scores. Luke Keaschall scores. Byron Buxton scores. (inning 11) — -55% Twins
11Chase Meidroth singles on a line drive to left fielder Kody Clemens. Munetaka Murakami scores.5–3
11Brooks Lee doubles (9) on a line drive to right fielder Rikuu Nishida. Ryan Kreidler scores. Luke Keaschall scores. Byron Buxton scores.5–2
8Munetaka Murakami homers (19) on a fly ball to right field. Rikuu Nishida scores.2–2
4Austin Martin singles on a line drive to center fielder Tristan Peters. Kody Clemens scores.2–0
4Kody Clemens triples (1) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Rikuu Nishida. Trevor Larnach scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
