Twins at White Sox
Last play · Trevor Larnach flies out to center fielder Tristan Peters.
Win probability
White Sox100%
MIN 0%CWS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 1 – 8 CWS
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 9 ↓
fair over 50.5% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Sam Antonacci singles on a ground ball to center fielder Kody Clemens, deflected by pitcher Connor Prielipp. Colson Montgomery scores. Edgar Quero scores. (inning 2) — +25% White Sox
8Luisangel Acuña grounds into a double play, shortstop Tristan Gray to second baseman Luke Keaschall to first baseman Josh Bell. Edgar Quero scores. Tristan Peters to 3rd. Sam Antonacci out at 2nd. Luisangel Acuña out at 1st.2–15
8Kody Clemens homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.2–14
7Munetaka Murakami homers (20) on a fly ball to left center field.1–14
7Chase Meidroth hits a grand slam (5) to center field. Edgar Quero scores. Tristan Peters scores. Sam Antonacci scores.1–13
6Randal Grichuk singles on a line drive to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Munetaka Murakami scores.1–9
5Luisangel Acuña singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Sam Antonacci scores.1–8
5Sam Antonacci singles on a line drive to right fielder Austin Martin. Randal Grichuk scores. Tristan Peters scores. Sam Antonacci to 2nd.1–7
5Edgar Quero out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Kody Clemens. Miguel Vargas scores.1–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
