Twins at White Sox
Last play · Tristan Gray flies out to left fielder Sam Antonacci.
Win probability
White Sox100%
MIN 0%CWS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 1 – 6 CWS
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
8
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 49% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+144 / -175
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Randal Grichuk doubles (5) on a line drive to right fielder Kody Clemens. Colson Montgomery scores. Chase Meidroth scores. Tristan Peters scores. (inning 3) — +14% White Sox
7Victor Caratini out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Tristan Peters. Josh Bell scores.2–6
5Ryan Kreidler grounds out, shortstop Colson Montgomery to first baseman Munetaka Murakami. Orlando Arcia scores. Tristan Gray to 3rd.1–6
4Munetaka Murakami doubles (4) on a fly ball to shortstop Tristan Gray. Sam Antonacci scores.0–6
3Randal Grichuk doubles (5) on a line drive to right fielder Kody Clemens. Colson Montgomery scores. Chase Meidroth scores. Tristan Peters scores.0–5
3Tristan Peters singles on a ground ball to shortstop Tristan Gray. Munetaka Murakami scores. Colson Montgomery to 3rd. Chase Meidroth to 2nd.0–2
1Colson Montgomery singles on a ground ball to center fielder Ryan Kreidler. Miguel Vargas scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
