Tigers at White Sox
Last play · Hao-Yu Lee challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Hao-Yu Lee called out on strikes.
Win probability
White Sox100%
DET 0%CWS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 1 – 2 CWS
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8 ↓
fair over 50.6% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-121 / +100
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Edgar Quero homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 7) — +18% White Sox
8Andrew Benintendi homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Edgar Quero scores.1–7
8Colson Montgomery homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field.1–5
7Rikuu Nishida singles on a ground ball to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Andrew Benintendi scores.1–4
7Edgar Quero homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.1–3
3Wenceel Pérez homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.1–2
1Edgar Quero out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Matt Vierling. Miguel Vargas scores.0–2
1Randal Grichuk lines out to third baseman Kevin McGonigle.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
