Braves at White Sox
Last play · Ozzie Albies pops out to second baseman Chase Meidroth.
Win probability
White Sox100%
ATL 0%CWS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 0 – 2 CWS
White Sox led after 5
Total runs
7
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 52.9% · hold 4.6%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-149 / +123
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ozzie Albies reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Miguel Vargas. Jorge Mateo scores. Ozzie Albies to 2nd. (inning 7) — -14% Braves
7Ozzie Albies reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Miguel Vargas. Jorge Mateo scores. Ozzie Albies to 2nd.1–2
4Luisangel Acuña grounds out, pitcher Chris Sale to first baseman Matt Olson. Derek Hill scores.0–2
4Derek Hill singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Michael Harris II. Braden Montgomery scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
