Braves at White Sox
Last play · Andrew Benintendi strikes out swinging.
Win probability
White Sox0%
ATL 100%CWS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 1 – 0 CWS
Braves led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-108 / +101
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Austin Riley doubles (20) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Mauricio Dubón scores. (inning 3) — -14% Braves
7Austin Riley singles on a ground ball to center fielder Tristan Peters. Michael Harris II scores.2–0
3Austin Riley doubles (20) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Mauricio Dubón scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
