Dodgers at White Sox
Last play · Miguel Vargas flies out to center fielder Andy Pages.
Win probability
White Sox0%
LAD 100%CWS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 4 – 0 CWS
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8 ↑
fair over 51% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-205 / +168
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Max Muncy homers (15) on a fly ball to right center field. Mookie Betts scores. (inning 1) — -16% Dodgers
9Tristan Peters homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.7–1
8Max Muncy homers (16) on a fly ball to center field. Mookie Betts scores.7–0
6Kyle Tucker walks. Shohei Ohtani scores. Andy Pages to 3rd. Max Muncy to 2nd.5–0
3Kyle Tucker singles on a fly ball to right fielder Braden Montgomery. Mookie Betts scores. Max Muncy to 3rd.4–0
1Max Muncy homers (15) on a fly ball to right center field. Mookie Betts scores.3–0
1Shohei Ohtani homers (14) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
