Dodgers at White Sox
Last play · Freddie Freeman strikes out swinging.
Win probability
White Sox100%
LAD 0%CWS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 1 – 0 CWS
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 10.5 ↓
fair over 47.5% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-199 / +163
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Sam Antonacci homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 6) — +21% White Sox
9Alex Freeland doubles (6) on a line drive to right fielder Braden Montgomery. Ryan Ward scores.4–6
8Mookie Betts homers (7) on a line drive to left field.3–6
7Alex Freeland out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Tristan Peters. Dalton Rushing scores.2–6
6Chase Meidroth homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. Braden Montgomery scores.1–6
6Colson Montgomery homers (17) on a fly ball to right field. Andrew Benintendi scores.1–4
6Andrew Benintendi doubles (10) on a line drive to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Miguel Vargas scores.1–2
6Sam Antonacci homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
1Freddie Freeman homers (11) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
