Guardians at White Sox
Last play · Austin Hedges strikes out swinging.
Win probability
White Sox100%
CLE 0%CWS 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 1 – 1 CWS
Tied through 5
Total runs
7
opened 7
fair over 51% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-117 / -103
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Miguel Vargas homers (17) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 6) — +26% White Sox
6Miguel Vargas homers (17) on a fly ball to left field.1–2
5Kahlil Watson homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
4Colson Montgomery singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kahlil Watson. Randal Grichuk scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
