Guardians at White Sox
Last play · Braden Montgomery grounds out sharply to first baseman Kyle Manzardo.
Win probability
White Sox0%
CLE 100%CWS 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 0 – 0 CWS
Tied through 5
Total runs
8
opened 9 ↓
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-111 / -109
We show no side edge — our game model measures at the coin flip.
Not priced · Total Stolen Bases, Stolen Bases Milestones, First Home Run Hitter, First Team to Score — these outcomes aren't in our simulator's event model, so we don't have a number for them.
White Sox favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Randal Grichuk homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 9) — +42% White Sox
10Kahlil Watson singles on a ground ball to left fielder Randal Grichuk. Petey Halpin scores. Stuart Fairchild to 2nd.4–3
9Randal Grichuk homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field.3–3
9Braden Montgomery homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.3–2
8Patrick Bailey walks. Petey Halpin scores. Kyle Manzardo to 3rd. Daniel Schneemann to 2nd.3–1
7Braden Montgomery out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Petey Halpin. Kyle Teel scores.2–1
6Kahlil Watson singles on a line drive to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Brayan Rocchio scores. Petey Halpin scores. Kyle Manzardo to 3rd. Kahlil Watson to 2nd. Throwing error by left fielder Sam Antonacci.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
